Research

Hiding in Front of Us: AI Impact on Jobs

2026-08-18 · PDF

AI and the Economy: The Four Rates Which Define The Future

2026-04-15 · PDF

Simple Heuristics on the Link Between Sharpe Ratio and Maximum Drawdowns

2025-07-15 · PDF

What Economists Are Missing About AI

ProMarket · Stigler Center, Chicago Booth

2026-07-15 · Article

A Signed Measure of AI Exposure, and What Twenty-One Published Indices Cannot See

2026-08-18 · SSRN

Hiding in the Mean: The Two Margins of AI’s Employment Effect

2026-07-28 · SSRN

Task-Level AI Exposure Doesn’t Need to Vary

Under review at Economics Letters

2026-07-21 · SSRN

A Protocol for Rater-Invariant Measures from Language Models, with an Application to AI Exposure

Presenting at Frontiers in ML and Economics (Philadelphia Fed)

2026-07-13 · SSRN

Projecting the Fiscal Arithmetic of the AI Transition: An Integrated Framework Across 20 OECD Economies

2026-06-25 · SSRN

Speed Does Not Increase Job Displacement: A Bottleneck Theorem for AI Speedup and Labor

2026-06-17 · SSRN

How Fast Does AI Actually Work? Per-Task Speedup Measurement Across a Validated Sample of O*NET Anchors

2026-05-28 · SSRN

Task-Structure Measures of AI Exposure as Instruments for Direct Adoption: Validation Across BTOS, Eurostat, and AIOE

2026-04-28 · SSRN

Measuring the Impact of AI on Productivity: Cross-Sectoral Evidence from Eighteen Economies Post-ChatGPT

2026-04-27 · SSRN

AI and the Economy: The Four Rates Which Define The Future (Short Version)

2026-04-20 · SSRN

AI and the Economy: The Four Rates Which Define The Future

2026-04-17 · SSRN

Liminal - AI Job Impact Map

2026-08-26

Liminal - AI Economic Impact Model

2026-04-15 · Interactive scenario tool